STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISTICS OF GEOPHYSICAL FIELDS ANOMALIES AND THEIR USE IN FORECASTING

V. V. Filatov

An approach related to the use of order as a forecast criterion in geologic-geophysical problems is considered. The approach is based on reconstructing attractors of dynamic systems by the action of which predictable geologic bodies were formed. The behavior of such attractor is an indicator of order characteristics of the Earth Crust’s region. In addition this attractor creating a phase portrait of the system produces complementary latent connections between parameters of the dynamic system. The application of these connections allows estimating a forecast horizon and shaping the forecast parameter in a new fashion.

Key words: order, dynamic systems, synergy, strange attractors, phase space, Takens’s theorem, Lyapunov’s indicators , geologic-geophysical forecast, forecast parameter. 

Download PDF